Time to Retire the Term Emerging Markets?

In this Equitile Conversations episode, George Cooper and I, are joined by our special guest Michael Power, and discuss the outdated term “emerging markets.” 

We discus whether it inaccurately describes dynamic economies like China, which lead in technology and growth, while traditional “developed” markets like the US exhibit characteristics once associated with emerging markets, such as fiscal issues and currency volatility.

https://www.equitileconversations.com/2459100/episodes/17577861-time-to-retire-the-term-emerging-markets

About Michael Power

Michael Power is a prominent South African financial markets commentator and strategist, known for his extensive career in global investment, with a focus on Africa and emerging markets. His career spans several decades and includes roles at major financial institutions such as Anglo American, NM Rothschild & Sons, HSBC, and Baring Asset Management, with work in South Africa, London, and Kenya. Power’s expertise centres on geo-economics, the role of Asia in the 21st century, and Africa’s economic relationships with global markets.

Global Energy – Drivers & Disruptors

On the latest episode of Equitile Conversations I’m joined by Nicholas Rogers, an equity analyst at Equitile.

We take a look at the three major energy markets of oil, natural gas and coal, which together supply up to 90% of global energy.

https://www.equitileconversations.com/2459100/episodes/17416662-global-energy-drivers-and-disruptors

Equitile Conversations Podcast Now Launched

My colleague George Cooper and I have started a new Podcast Series called Equitile Conversations.

It will focus on Markets, Risk, Macroeconomics, and Geopolitics, and from time to time we will have guests.

To start things off, the first two episodes have been released on www.equitileconversations.com

The Demographic Transition 

https://www.equitileconversations.com/2459100/episodes/16771145-the-demographic-transition

And also

The Investor’s Mind   

https://www.equitileconversations.com/2459100/episodes/16777961-the-investor-s-mind-behavioural-bias-revealed

As well as the website, The podcast is also available via the usual platforms inc Apple, Spotify, Amazon, Podcast Index etc

Introducing Equitile Conversations

A new venture, I have teamed up with George Cooper at Equitile to create a modest podcast called Equitile Conversations.
We hope this will become a regular series, covering many of the wider issues in investment and finance.
In this first edition we look at the impact of changes in global demographics.
This edition is a “barebones” product, a dedicated web page and show notes will follow in time.
You can find Equitile Conversations on Spotify or go straight to it via this link

As Mr Smith said

In 1776 the Scottish economist and moral philosopher Adam Smith (1723-1790) published his magnum opus – An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. Better known as The Wealth of Nations it can be considered a seminal work in economics, and the benefits of free trade. Like many great works it is more frequently referred to than read, so as an encouragement to read it (long but in very plain and digestible English) here are some interesting and still pertinent quotes.

‘No society can surely be flourishing and happy, of which the far greater part of the members are poor and miserable.’

‘The interest of [businessmen] is always in some respects different from, and even opposite to, that of the publick … The proposal of any new law or regulation of commerce which comes from this order … ought never to be adopted till after having been long and carefully examined … with the most suspicious attention. It comes from an order of men … who have generally an interest to deceive and even to oppress the publick…’     

‘The greatest improvement in the productive powers of labour, and the greater part of the skill, dexterity, and judgement with which it is any where directed, or applied, seem to have been the effects of the division of labour.’

‘It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest. We address ourselves, not to their humanity but to their self-love, and never talk to them of our own necessities but of their advantages.’

‘But the amount of the metal pieces which circulate in a society, can never be equal to the revenue of all its members. As the same guinea which pays the weekly pension of one man to-day, may pay that of another tomorrow, and that of a third the day thereafter, the amount of the metal pieces which annually circulate in any country, must always be of much less value than the whole money pensions annually paid with them…..That revenue, therefore, cannot consist in those metal pieces, of which the amount is so much inferior to its value, but in the power of purchasing, in the goods which can successively be bought with them as they circulate from hand to hand

All for ourselves, and nothing for other people, seems, in every age of the world, to have been the vile maxim of the masters of mankind.’     

‘Science is the great antidote to the poison of enthusiasm and superstition;…’     

‘Whatever part of his stock a man employs as a capital, he always expects is to be replaced to him with a profit. He employs it, therefore, in maintaining productive hands only; and after having served in the function of a capital to him, it constitutes a revenue to them.’

‘Whatever a person saves from his revenue he adds to his capital, and either employs it himself in maintaining an additional number of productive hands, or enables some other person to do so, by lending it to him for an interest, that is, for a share of the profits. As the capital of an individual can be increased only by what he saves from his annual revenue or his annual gains, so the capital of a society, which is the same with that of all the individuals who compose it, can be increased only in the same manner.’

Odds and Sods

Two v short links today

Firstly (for UK readers) have you ever wondered what the odds are of winning on Premium Bonds

Nice article here https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/premium-bonds-odds-of-winning-132223817.html

“To have a 50/50 chance of winning even £50, a saver who put in £1,000 would have to wait more than 200 years. To have an equal chance of winning £1m, someone with £1,000 invested would have to wait 3.2 million years.”

And if you are interested in the memoirs of a famous bookie – I can very much recommend Odds and Sods: My Life in the Betting Business https://www.amazon.co.uk/Odds-Sods-Life-Betting-Business/dp/0340546840/